CNN poll: John Hickenlooper 51%, Tom Tancredo 37%, Dan Maes 10%

John Hickenlooper leads Tom Tancredo for governor among 829 likely voters 51% to 37% with Dan Maes coming in at 10%, according to a CNN/Time poll. The poll was conducted Oct. 20 to 26, which means that it has a lot of out-of-date replies because there has been a lot of campaign news since Oct. 20. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. The poll apparently hasn't been weighted for historical voting patterns, early turnout or expected turnout patterns. Two polls have Hickenlooper leading by 10 to 14 points and two by 3 to 4 percentage points. I don't think the differences reflect pollsters biases as much as differences in methodology and timing of the polling.

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 10/27/2010 at 04:43 PM

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