John Hickenlooper 44%, Tom Tancredo 43%, Dan Maes 9%; Tancredo has the momentum
Tom Tancredo can win the governor's race by taking Republicans, unaffiliated voters and undecided voters from John Hickenlooper and Dan Maes. Tancredo is surging, Hickenlooper is stuck and Maes is headed for 5% to 7%.
John Hickenlooper and Tom Tancredo are virtually tied in the race for governor of Colorado at 44% to 43% with Dan Maes at 9% and sinking, according to Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies, Louisville, CO. A "generic other candidate" and undecided each got 2% of the 1,067 likely voters surveyed. The results were weighted to reflect voting patterns in recent elections. It is not clear what the result would show if was a low Dem turnout and a high GOP turnout on Nov. 2.
Tancredo wins 73% of Republican voters to 9% for Hickenlooper and 15% for Maes. Hickenlooper wins 87% of Democrats to 8% for Tancredo and 3% for Maes. Tancredo wins 46% of unaffiliated voters to 38% for Hickenlooper and 8% for Maes. 2% of GOP voters and 1% of Democrats are undecided.
Tancredo gets 50% of men and 38% of women to 39% of men and 49% of women for Hickenlooper. Maes gets 9% of men and women.
I participated in this poll and it seemed as objective as they come. Magellan works for Republicans and non political clients. LINK: Colorado governor survey (10/22/10), Magellan.