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John Hickenlooper 47%, Tom Tancredo 33%, Dan Maes 13% and sinking

Public Policy Polling is out with a new poll: John Hickenlooper 47%, Tom Tancredo 33% and Dan Maes 13% of likely voters. I think these are a new high for Hickenlooper and a new low for Maes in all of the polls published so far. Below the jump, PPP explains how Maes is losing Republicans and is viewed favorably by only 12% of voters.

Hickenlooper holds at 84% of the Democratic vote and maintains a similar 50-35-9 lead among independents over Tancredo and Maes. But Maes’ party support has been halved, as a quarter of the GOP has swung from him to Tancredo, who now leads among Maes’ own party members, 56-24. Hickenlooper also gets 11% of Republicans, with Tancredo and Maes earning only 8% and 4% of Democrats, respectively.

Maes’ personal favorability numbers have taken a dive, from an already bad 23-38 before the primary to 12-58 now, a swing of 31 points on the margin. Even Republicans dislike him, 19-52, versus 44-32 in August, a 45-point negative shift. Tancredo has seen a sizeable increase in favor, from 27-50 to 35-45. Hickenlooper, naturally, is still the best liked of the three, at 51-37.

“This race looks like it’s going to end up being closer than might have been expected a month ago when Maes and Tancredo had roughly the same level of support,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “The good news for Hickenlooper is that his support is steady, but he needs to sway a few more folks to get over 50%.”


LINK: Hickenlooper dominates as Tancredo surges and Maes fades, by Public Policy Polling, which has a good record for accuracy. 

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 10/07/2010 at 03:03 PM


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